January 28, 2005

Global warming, take it personally

Filed under: Uncategorized — @ 6:31 pm

When I was sitting in the dark waiting for my car warming up last night, my roaming mind suddenly hit a bump. How much carbon dioxide(CO2) and pollutants did my dearest car emit to the air?

I am not an environmentalist but I do concern about the global warming. In fact, I was once trained in studying environment and health. So when I was skimming through the Nature, a report caught my attention. It says that if we keep on giving off CO2, the global temperature will raise 2-110C—greater than what we originally thought (2-30C). Incidentally, this week’s Time magazine had an excerpt from the former EPA director Christine Todd Whitman’s book “It’s My Party, too”. In that excerpt, Whitman complained that Mr. President basically tipped her off on the issue of global warming.

Well, politics and science are interesting by themselves, but let’s take global warming personally. Let me introduce my car first. She is sort of an old American beauty and drinks lots of gasoline (and also needs enormous love :-)). It only runs 22 miles per gallon gas but is powerful (V6, 3.1). It never fails me during the winter and always roars through snow piles with one kick. However, after I fumbled through the US EPA website, I was shocked that my precious darling is actually a witch. It has a score of 1 (the worst) in terms of air pollutant emissions. I was somewhat relieved when I found that its score on carbon dioxide (CO2) is rated as 5 (the average).

As a number cruncher, I figured out that by driving half an hour per day, or 20 miles in the city, my car emits about 5,902 lbs of CO2per year, less than half of the national average (13,500 lbs). I kept on playing with numbers. The final number for the total emissions by my family came out as a merely 37,100 lbs. Again it is about half of the national average (60,000 for two people). Hmm, not too bad. You can try it by yourself.
(http://yosemite.epa.gov/oar/globalwarming.nsf/content/ResourceCenterToolsGHGCalculator.html)

On the EPA website, there are more numbers. The residential emissions account for about 5.5% of total CO2 emissions. One third of CO2 emissions are from energy production, and 27% are from cars and trucks on the road. Overall, the US accounts for 24% of CO2 emissions of the world (with only 5% population of the world). To make things worse, the US CO2 emission is increasing at 1% per year from 1999-2002, or about 3.5% increase per year for each person. Among them, the emissions from transportation have the fastest increase. The residential emissions remain stable.

On the other hand, based on the Kyoto Protocol, remaining stable is not enough. We should reduce the emission. EPA suggests that by adjusting the electricity we use in our home, the waste we produce, and the personal transportation, we can reduce 32% of the total emissions per person. Since my guilty is only half of that of average Americans, I don’t know how much improvement I can do. Nevertheless, if there is a will, there is a way.

The first thing coming up to my mind is that I can low the room temperature by one or two degrees. Gosh, the Weather channel predicted that temperature tonight will be about -50F. Looking at my son who wears shorts all the time, I decided to hold my horses till the overall temperature was above 00F. However, before I left home this morning, I did carefully adjust my temperature two degrees more down than usual. I felt good the whole morning.

The second thing is to deal with my electricity. Well, I looked around. I can turn off my computer whenever possible. No TV anytime (which is good). I can also replace unessential light bulbs to lower lumen ones, for example along the stairway. Other utilities? I certainly can’t turn off my refrigerator. All other machines are used only occasionally. Then I remembered that my wife has been yearning for a dishwasher for a long time. I should talk to her right away about giving up that idea. But hold on, I may use other ways to make that buying impossible.

Something about waste has to be done. However, I always recycle my paper and bottles, and have much less trash than our neighbors do. I guess the only thing I can do to reduce waste is to keep all the trash in house.

Till now, all my decisions can save my money although it may not be much. Well, there are two more major things that I can do about. The first is my old car. I have thought of replacing it for a long time. She is still serving me partly because she is doing just fine now and partly because I have had some sort of love-hate feelings for her. Well, I do like you, Dory, but I have to let you go. I am sorry. I quickly estimated that it might cost me more than $20,000 to buy an average new car. This is a big budget.

What about the house itself? I learned that one of my colleagues was installing new insulation onto her house. Well, I also heard that it costs a lot. I don’t know exactly how much but the number can be as much as $10,000. By doing this, I may save some money too from gas bills, but I guess the saving will be far less than $10,000. Anyway, this is a hard decision to make. No rush. I have to let it go too.

After some further musing and pondering, I finally came up a conclusion. The global warming is important, but to make a significant contribution, the costs may be a lot more than the benefits. Because I can’t perceive any immediate benefits, my motivation is also low. Furthermore, there is no punishment if I keep on wasting energy (except for extra $1-2 per months, which are minimal compared with other expenses).

The United States must see the global warming the same way as I do. There is no benefit to reduce CO2 emissions. In addition, CO2 is not an air pollutant based on Clear Air Act. Anyway, there are many more important things to do. So the President just plainly rejected the Kyoto Protocol. There is no punishment.

A note: China accounts for about 12.7% world CO2 emissions, with a 1.3 billion population.

2 Comments »

  1. ——————————————————————————–
    Global Warming Is a Myth!
    by Arthur B. Robinson and Zachary W. Robinson
    Oregon Institute of Science and Medicine.
    ——————————————————————————–
    This is one site of 32,400 sites to be found on Google which bebunk the myth of so called ‘global warming and the
    reason for the propogation of the lie.
    Political leaders gathered in Kyoto, Japan, working away on an international treaty to stop “global warming” by reducing carbon dioxide emissions. The debate over how much to cut emissions has at times been heated–but the entire enterprise is futile or worse. For there is not a shred of persuasive evidence that humans have been responsible for increasing global temperatures. What’s more, carbon dioxide emissions have actually been a boon for the environment.
    The myth of “global warming” starts with an accurate observation: The amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is rising. It is now about 360 parts per million, vs. 290 at the beginning of the 20th century, Reasonable estimates indicate that it may eventually rise as high as 600 parts per million. This rise probably results from human burning of coal, oil and natural gas, although this is not certain. Earth’s oceans and land hold some 50 times as much carbon dioxide as is in the atmosphere, and movement between these reservoirs of carbon dioxide is poorly understood. The observed rise in atmospheric carbon dioxide does correspond with the time of human release and equals about half of the amount released.
    Carbon dioxide, water, and a few other substances are “greenhouse gases.” For reasons predictable from their physics and chemistry, they tend to admit more solar energy into the atmosphere than they allow to escape. Actually, things are not so simple as this, since these substances interact among themselves and with other aspects of the atmosphere in complex ways that are not well understood. Still, it was reasonable to hypothesize that rising atmospheric carbon dioxide levels might cause atmospheric temperatures to rise. Some people predicted “global warming,” which has come to mean extreme greenhouse warming of the atmosphere leading to catastrophic environmental consequences.
    Careful Tests:
    The global warming hypothesis, however, is no longer tenable. Scientists have been able to test it carefully, and it does not hold up. During the past 50 years, as atmospheric carbon dioxide levels have risen, scientists have made precise measurements of atmospheric temperature. These measurements have definitively shown that major atmospheric greenhouse warming of the atmosphere is not occurring and is unlikely ever to occur.
    The temperature of the atmosphere fluctuates over a wide range, the result of solar activity and other influences. During the past 3,000 years, there have been five extended periods when it was distinctly warmer than today. One of the two coldest periods, known as the Little Ice Age, occurred 300 years ago. Atmospheric temperatures have been rising from that low for the past 300 years, but remain below the 3,000-year average.
    Why are temperatures rising? The first chart nearby shows temperatures during the past 250 years, relative to the mean temperature for 1951-70. The same chart shows the length of the solar magnetic cycle during the same period. Close correlation between these two parameters–the shorter the solar cycle (and hence the more active the sun), the higher the temperature demonstrates, as do other studies, that the gradual warming since the Little Ice Age and the large fluctuations during that warming have been caused by changes in solar activity.
    The highest temperatures during this period occurred in about 1940. During the past 20 years, atmospheric temperatures have actually tended to go down, as shown in the second chart, based on very reliable satellite data, which have been confirmed by measurements from weather balloons.
    Consider what this means for the global warming hypothesis. This hypothesis predicts that global temperatures will rise significantly, indeed catastrophically, if atmospheric carbon dioxide rises. Most of the increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide has occurred during the past 50 years, and the increase has continued during the past 20 years. Yet there has been no significant increase in atmospheric temperature during those 50 years, and during the 20 years with the highest carbon dioxide levels, temperatures have decreased.
    In science, the ultimate test is the process of experiment. If a hypothesis fails the experimental test, it must be discarded. Therefore, the scientific method requires that the global warming hypothesis be rejected.
    Why, then, is there continuing scientific interest in “global warming”? There is a field of inquiry in which scientists are using computers to try to predict the weathervane global weather over very long periods. But global weather is so complicated that current data and computer methods are insufficient to make such predictions. Although it is reasonable to hope that these methods will eventually become useful, for now computer climate models are very unreliable. The second chart shows predicted temperatures for the past 20 years, based on the computer models. It’s not surprising that they should have turned out wrong after all the weatherman still has difficulty predicting local weather even for a few days. Long term global predictions are beyond current capabilities.
    So we needn’t worry about human use of hydrocarbons warming the Earth. We also needn’t worry about environmental calamities, even if the current, natural warming trend continues: After all the Earth has been much warmer during the past 3,000 years without ill effects.
    But we should worry about the effects of the hydrocarbon rationing being proposed at Kyoto. Hydrocarbon use has major environmental benefits. A great deal of research has shown that increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide accelerate the growth rates of plants and also permit plants to grow in drier regions. Animal life, which depends upon plants, also increases.
    Standing timber in the United States has already increased by 30% since 1950. There are now 60 tons of timber for every American. Tree ring studies further confirm this spectacular increase in tree growth rates. It has also been found that mature Amazonian rain forests are increasing in bio-mass at about two tons per acre per year. A composite of 279 research studies predicts that overall plant growth rates will ultimately double as carbon dioxide increases.
    Lush Environment:
    What mankind is doing is moving hydrocarbons from below ground and turning them into living things. We are living in an increasingly lush environment of plants and animals as a result of the carbon dioxide increase. Our children will enjoy an Earth with twice as much plant and animal life as that with which we now are blessed. This is a wonderful and unexpected gift from the industrial revolution.
    Hydrocarbons are needed to feed and lift from poverty vast numbers of people across the globe. This can eventually allow all human beings to live long, prosperous, healthy, productive lives. No other single technological factor is more important to the increase in the quality, length and quantity of human life than the continued, expanded and unrationed use of the Earth’s hydrocarbons, of which we have proven reserves to last more than 1,000 years. Global warming is a myth. The reality is that global poverty and death would be the result of Kyoto’s rationing of hydrocarbons.
    So, where did the ‘issue’ of global warming come from?…. We made it up!
    Arthur Robinson and Zachary Robinson are chemists at the Oregon Institute of Science and Medicine.

    See:
    http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8&q=global+warming+myth&btnG=Google+Search
    ..and,
    Global warming and David Suzuki’s lies.
    http://www.quebecoislibre.org/001014-11.htm

    http://budzzone.blogspot.com/

    Comment by bud — November 30, 1999 @ 12:00 am

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